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- August 30, 1971THE ECONOMYNixon's Grand Design for Recovery
-
-
- For the second time in two months, President Richard Nixon
- reversed his own and his party's policies with a swiftness and
- style that is virtually unmatched in modern American politics.
- What he did in foreign policy with his approach to Peking he
- outdid in domestic affairs last week. Casting aside "the game
- plan" he has so long and implacably pursued, the President
- announced "the most comprehensive New Economic Policy to be
- undertaken by this nation in four decades." The claim was
- merited. A show of firm leadership was clearly needed in order
- to get the U.S. industrial machine running smoothly once more.
-
- He indeed laid out the most sweeping changes since the
- Hundred Days of the New Deal in 1933, when Franklin Roosevelt
- took the U.S. off the gold standard and began to get the
- Depression-racked economy into gear. The Nixon program had
- immediate and dramatic impact at home: on the first day the
- Dow- Jones average took a record jump on the New York Stock
- Exchange. But abroad there was consternation. Nixon's measures
- threatened a serious reversal of the postwar trend toward freer
- trade. They also ripped the fraying international monetary
- agreements that have made expanded trade possible. Canada and
- Japan, America's two largest trading partners, sent anxious
- emissaries to plead for explanations.
-
-
- Declining Confidence
-
- The Tokyo exchange led other overseas markets into a
- disastrous slide. Foreign exchange markets shut down, helpless
- in the currency confusion. Europe's finance ministers
- interrupted their vacations and rushed to Brussels to try to
- patch up the international monetary order. Only three years ago,
- U.S. Treasury Secretary John Connally had stoutly told a Munich
- bankers' convention that the dollar would not be devalued. Now
- it almost certainly will be.
-
- Many factors coalesced to force the swift move. Pollster-
- Analyst Albert Sindlinger found early in August that the
- consumer confidence index had fallen to 55% -- lower, he said,
- than during the 1957 recession. Only 27% of those he interviewed
- wanted to see Nixon re-elected. Secretary of Commerce Maurice
- Stans warned that this year the U.S. may be running a trade
- deficit for the first time since 1893. House Ways and Means
- Chairman Wilbur Mills was getting ready to hold hearings on his
- own proposals for the economy. The final blow was a devastating
- new attack on the long- weakened dollar in the world's money
- markets.
-
- Nixon imposed direct controls on prices and wages for the
- first time since the Korean War. Confronted with a situation of
- inflation-cum-unemployment in which the old textbook remedies
- were no longer working, he seemed to be committing the Federal
- Government to an intimate role in major pay and pricing
- decisions by U.S. business for some time to come. The changes
- were all the more remarkable for having been agreed to in the
- course of one short weekend at Camp David.
-
- Politically, it was a particularly satisfying coup for the
- Republicans, as the President's measures were in several cases
- neatly lifted from the proposals of his Democratic critics. Not
- only did he take the Democrats' advice, but he also used as his
- authority for a key order legislation that the Democrats had
- forced upon him. And the stakes were high. His trip to China is
- almost certain to bring him political rewards, but come
- Election Day in 1972, mending the nation's pocketbook could pay
- off at the polls as Peking never would.
-
-
- The President's Package
-
- The program the President has ordered, or asked Congress
- for, separates into eight parts:
-
- -- The U.S. will no longer convert foreign-held dollars
- into gold; temporarily, at least, the dollar will no longer be
- the foundation of international monetary dealings, as it has
- been since 1944.
-
- -- With minor exceptions, all prices, wages, rents and
- dividends are frozen at present levels for 90 days.
-
- -- A Cabinet-level Cost of Living Council, headed by
- Treasury Secretary John Connally, will preside over the freeze.
-
- -- Government spending will be reduced by $4.7 billion.
- Federal payrolls will be cut 5%; foreign aid will be pared by
- 10%; and the effective dates of Nixon Administration programs
- for revenue sharing and welfare reform will be pushed back.
-
- -- The 7% excise tax on automobiles will be repealed
- retroactive to Aug. 15; that means an average saving of $200
- per car, which should be passed along to the buyer.
-
- -- Industry will get a 10% tax credit on new investment
- for one year; the credit will thereafter become 5%.
-
- -- A $50 increase in the federal personal income tax
- exemption will take effect at the beginning of 1972 instead of
- a year later; this should release an extra $2 billion to
- consumers next year.
-
- -- Most imports will be subjected to a 10% surcharge,
- which in most cases will make U.S. goods more competitive in
- the domestic market with those from overseas.
-
- Nixon's proposals were designed 1) to stimulate the
- domestic economy by encouraging industrial investment and
- consumer spending and making imported goods more expensive, and
- 2) to blunt the mounting attack on the wavering dollar. Said
- the President: "Every action I have taken tonight is designed
- to nurture and stimulate [the] competitive spirit, to help us
- snap out of the self-doubt, the self-disparagement that saps
- our energy and erodes our confidence in ourselves." Once more,
- Nixon was handling a crisis, and he seemed to be enjoying it
- all hugely. Observes TIME Washington Bureau Chief Hugh Sidey:
- "Nixon clings to what is familiar until the last moment. Then,
- when the evidence overwhelms him or something happens in his
- gut, he decides to act, and nothing stands very long in his way.
- He abandons his philosophy, his promises, his speeches, his
- friends, his counselors. He marches out of one life into a new
- world without any apologies or glancing back."
-
-
- Basic Ingredients
-
- What prompted the turnabout? Earlier in the year, Nixon
- ruled out a tax cut as a means of restarting the economy. Over
- objections from his Council of Economic Advisers, headed by
- Paul McCracken, Nixon took the advice of George Shultz, chief
- of the Office of Management and Budget. Shultz thought that
- large doses of money from the Federal Reserve, presided over by
- Nixon's old economic mentor Arthur Burns, would be enough to get
- things moving. Besides, a tax cut would require a trek up to
- Capitol Hill, a humiliating concession that all was not well.
-
- The Fed put more money into the economy, but Burns himself
- knew that it could do so only temporarily without having an
- inflationary effect. He went to see shrewd, conservative Wilbur
- Mills, whose word on economic matters is virtually law in the
- House. Mills agreed to promote an investment-credit bill,
- should one be needed. Burns also opened communications with
- John Connally, the Texas Democrat whom Nixon had just made
- Secretary of the Treasury.
-
- But Shultz still had Nixon's ear. With Nixon's express
- approval, he proclaimed in April that no changes were
- contemplated in the Administration's approach. "Steady as she
- goes" was the watchword, said Shultz.
-
- At first, Connally went along with the Shultz conclusions;
- then he started boning up on reports dealing with the nation's
- economic miseries. Urged on by two deputies -- Paul Volcker, an
- expert in international monetary affairs, and Murray
- Weidenbaum, a specialist in the domestic economy -- Connally
- soon found himself studying a package of proposals that
- contained the basic ingredients of the New Economic Policy.
- Early in July, Connally asked his staff for weekly memos on
- anything that was on their minds. "I wanted their opinions on
- where we are," he recalls, "on the President, the Congress, the
- economy, what should be done, anything." The recommendations he
- got included wage and price guidelines, freezes, tax cuts. A
- month ago, Weidenbaum began working out the details of a
- wage-price freeze; at the same time Volcker stepped up his study
- of the specifics of cutting the dollar loose from gold. More
- planning followed, though few of those doing the staff work were
- told that what they were handling was anything more than a
- contingency plan. Indeed, a contingency plan was all it was
- until the last minute, when the President was persuaded that he
- should act.
-
- On short notice, Nixon summoned his key economic advisers
- to a climactic weekend gathering at Camp David, his Catoctin
- Mountain retreat. Burns and McCracken were there; so were
- Shultz and his deputy, Caspar Weinberger, and the two Teutons
- who guard Nixon's gates, H.R. Haldeman and John Ehrlichman.
- Peter Peterson, a presidential aide for international economic
- affairs, joined the sessions. Volcker and Speechwriter Bill
- Safire sneaked across Washington to the Anacostia Naval Air
- Station, where they boarded a helicopter for Camp David. John
- Connally, who had no way of knowing that the pressure on the
- dollar would propel him into prominence so soon, had just gone
- to his Texas ranch for a vacation. He jetted hastily back, and
- when the first meeting began Friday afternoon, he sat at Nixon's
- right.
-
-
- Remembered Weekend
-
- "It was tough," Connally, says. "A damn tough
- re-evaluation and re-analysis." But, says another participant,
- "We all knew there had to be change." Nixon made it plain from
- the beginning that the time had come to try a new strategy. When
- it was all over, when the draft of his Sunday television speech
- was finished, he gave each man a Camp David jacket, a blue
- windbreaker that bears the presidential seal. It was, said
- Nixon, "a weekend that would long be remembered."
-
- Next day, speaking to a group of second-echelon
- Administration officials, Nixon was quick to pay tribute to
- Connally's forcefulness and expertise. "This kind of program
- doesn't come off the top of a President's head," he said. "It
- was developed by a great team quarterbacked by Secretary
- Connally. I was more like the coach. I learned as much from the
- quarterback as he learned from me." Two days after the
- President's television broadcast, vacationing congressional
- leaders, hastily rounded up and flown to Washington in five
- planes that had been dispatched by Nixon, filed into the White
- House for a briefing. Nixon nodded in Mills' direction. "We can
- all take credit for this program," Nixon said. "Wilbur, these
- are some of your ideas." Mills smiled wanly. The moment of glory
- was Nixon's, but Mills will have plenty to say about those parts
- of the program that require congressional consent.
-
-
- Evangelical Fervor
-
- At the briefing, Burns said of Nixon's proposals: "This
- has electrified the nation." It had obviously electrified Nixon
- too. Before settling into San Clemente for a rest, he spent the
- rest of the week barnstorming the U.S. with the fervor of a
- newly sawdusted evangelist. He had the Knights of Columbus
- standing on their chairs to applaud him in New York. In
- Springfield, Ill., Nixon invoked "Lincoln's legacy." America,
- said the President, needs sacrifice and competition: "We can at
- this point in our history nobly save, or meanly lose, man's last
- best hope." Nixon capped his week with a gesture of
- reconciliation toward the nation most aggrieved by his recent
- acts. He revealed that he will meet Emperor Hirohito in
- Anchorage, Alaska, on Sept, 26 -- the first U.S. visit of a
- Japanese emperor.
-
- While the President was trumpeting his rhetorical ruffles
- and flourishes, his dramatic new plan left many Americans
- confused about just how it will affect them. The confusion
- began with the Government itself. At first the word was that
- state and local government employees who had pay raises in the
- works would be allowed to get them during the freeze; that
- decision was reversed. Most embarrassing to the Administration,
- the Pentagon announced that an Oct. 1 pay boost would go through
- despite the freeze; John Connally ruled that out too --
- vehemently.
-
- The task of trying to interpret the wage-price freeze fell
- to the little-known Office of Emergency Preparedness. The OEP
- aims to answer all the questions raised by the freeze. But no
- structure is contemplated that would be remotely similar to
- that of the Office of Price Administration, which at its peak
- during World War II included 63,000 paid and over 200,000
- volunteer employees. In 1942, one of those OPA employees was a
- young lawyer named Richard Nixon. He stayed just long enough to
- build an abiding dislike for the ponderous bureaucratic
- mechanism. So it was with some feeling that Nixon said in his
- television address: "While the wage-price freeze will be backed
- by Government sanctions, if necessary, it will not be
- accompanied by the establishment of a huge price-control
- bureaucracy. I am relying on the voluntary cooperation of all
- Americans."
-
- He is not likely to get it from all Americans. The first
- strident objections came from labor leaders. The Government's
- rule is that no wage increase scheduled to take effect during
- the freeze period may be paid, even if it has already been
- agreed to in a contract. United Auto Workers President Leonard
- Woodcock noted that two of his contracts -- with Caterpillar and
- John Deere -- call for raises during the three-month freeze. He
- threatened to sue, and added: "If this Administration thinks
- that just by issuing an edict they can tear up contracts, they
- are saying they want war. If they want war, they can have war."
-
- Another loud demurrer came from A.F.L.-C.I.O. President
- George Meany. Shultz and Labor Secretary James Hodgson
- explained the Nixon program to the 35-member A.F.L.-C.I.O.
- executive council, but they might as well have saved their
- breath. Meany called the wage freeze "patently discriminatory"
- against labor. Hodgson insisted that the rank-and-file union man
- would back the Nixon plan and accused Meany of being "out of
- step" with the average working man. That struck a raw nerve, for
- the aged Meany, 77, feels his leadership threatened by younger
- union Turks. He sneered: "I don't pay too much attention to the
- Secretary. If you have a problem with the landlord, you don't
- discuss it with the janitor."
-
-
- Open Defiance
-
- The Nixon Administration pleaded with labor leaders to
- make a voluntary end to existing strikes in order to help the
- economy pick up at the maximum possible speed. The most
- devastating strike under way is the West Coast dock stoppage,
- now eight weeks old, led by Harry Bridges. It is likely to
- continue. Bridges wired Nixon that the freeze "favors the rich,"
- and he added: "We are with you in your desire to stop inflation
- in our country, but it is wrong to pick on the workers, who
- suffer first and the most from inflation."
-
- Other complaints came in from Ralph Nader, who told a
- congressional committee that he suspected General Motors had
- been given advance notice of the price freeze, possibly during
- a recent meeting between Connally and G.M. President James
- Roche. (G.M. had raised prices on its 1972 models before the
- freeze went into effect, but agreed to rescind the increases.)
-
- In some political quarters there was open defiance:
- Democrat Preston Smith, John Connally's successor as Governor
- of Texas, announced that he had ordered state officials to
- proceed with scheduled 6.8% pay raises for teachers and other
- state government workers. There are problems with teacher
- contracts elsewhere. Most of them take effect at the start of
- the school year. Nixon took Smith's defiance calmly. "I think
- Governor Connally can take care of him," Nixon said. The Justice
- Department intends to ask for an injunction against Smith this
- week.
-
- Connally may have a somewhat more difficult time taking
- care of congressional objectors to the President's New Economic
- Policy. Nixon held the Hill leaders' feet to the fire at their
- briefing early last week. "The basis of this program is
- legislation," he said. "If you don't hurry, it will hurt. We've
- got to do these things and we've got to do them now. Now."
-
- Democrats hastened to spell out their objections. Wages
- are frozen, but not interest rates; strikes are discouraged,
- but profits are free to rise; the Administration's chief social
- welfare innovation, the family assistance program, carrying a
- guaranteed minimum income, has been deferred for a year as part
- of the price of economic stability. Said a Muskie aide: "You
- create enough money for millionaires to buy Cadillacs, and you
- create jobs for chauffeurs." Senator Muskie was more guarded,
- but he made approximately the same point. Said Muskie: "I don't
- believe that the best way or the fairest way to stimulate the
- economy is a series of large tax breaks for industry which far
- exceed their ability to expand, and which will depend on
- benefits trickling down to the consumer." Oklahoma's Senator
- Fred Harris described Nixon's program as "an economic fan dance
- which attempts to hide the pro-business bias of his proposals."
- TIME correspondent Simons Fentress summed up: "The Democrats
- have been embarrassed by this President who opened their closet
- and stole their shoes. They are by no means boxed in, however,
- and they are opening up alternate lines of attack."
-
-
- Post-Freeze Problems
-
- Neither the narrower political consequences nor the
- broader effectiveness of the New Economic Policy will be known
- for some time. Nixon's store of national good will is not
- overwhelming, but it should be enough to persuade most Americans
- to go along for the initial 90-day period, given the near
- universal dissatisfaction with the way the economy stood. More
- important, though, is what happens after the freeze expires --
- and that is a problem that the Administration is already
- worrying about.
-
- The immediate post-freeze period is already known around
- the White House as "Phase 2." It is of vital importance. For if
- controls are suddenly lifted, without any transitional
- mechanism or any ongoing wage-price review board to hold
- increases firmly within acceptable limits, there would be no
- point to the freeze in the first place. All the gains would
- evaporate at once; prices would rise sharply to make up for the
- hold-down, and wages would jump to keep pace. The federal
- official charged with special responsibility for Phase 2 is
- Herbert Stein of the Council of Economic Advisers, an outspoken
- economist who was a vigorous opponent of wage-price regulation
- only a few months ago.
-
-
- Elusive Mood
-
- When the freeze expires in min-November, how will anyone
- know whether or not it has been a success? Phase 2 will be the
- real test, but at the end of the first 90 days there will be
- several useful points at which to apply the economic litmus.
- Part of the test will be psychological: there will have to be
- a popular consensus that the program is working, some feeling
- that things look better. Even before then, there will have to
- have been serious negotiations between labor, management and
- Government to get Phase 2 under way. If Phase 1 has been a
- success, wages, of course, will be steady; so should the cost
- of living, particularly since automobile prices will remain
- level or even decrease. If there is a resurgence in consumer
- confidence, the high rate of savings should have come down and
- retail sales should have picked up well before the freeze
- expires. If labor costs are stable, as they should be, even a
- modest increase in productivity will mean higher profits for
- manufacturers. That, in turn, means a net gain in real income
- across the U.S. For whom? If prices are frozen beyond the end
- of Phase 1 and wages are allowed to rise moderately -- say, by
- 4% -- that would distribute the net gain fairly widely. At best,
- there will be a good start toward building a new international
- monetary structure, and the U.S. will avoid touching off a
- protectionist trade war.
-
- Administration experts have already started speculating
- about the shape of Phase 2. There will be neither a return to
- the pre-freeze status quo nor permanent imposition of a
- thoroughgoing control system. Instead, the President is likely
- to pick one or more intermediate devices within the first 60
- days of the freeze period, thus leaving the final 30 days for
- setting up whatever administrative machinery is required. He
- will probably make use of wage-price review boards for various
- industries, selective controls for others, economic sanctions
- through withholding or awarding Government buying contracts, and
- just plain jawboning. Quite possibly the freeze could be
- extended for a time beyond the end of the 90-day period, then
- lifted industry by industry as continuing arrangements are
- worked out.
-
- If, in the end, the New Economic Policy is a failure, then
- John Connally's brightening star will surely fade, Shultz could
- re-emerge with new political clout, and Spiro Agnew -- who was
- consulted in the New Economic Policy deliberations, as he never
- was about the overtures to Peking -- would find himself no
- longer threatened by Connally for the vice-presidential
- nomination in 1972. In that case, however, even the Republican
- presidential nomination would be worth very little, for Nixon's
- best chance to get the U.S. economy under control would have
- failed.
-
- In the dismal and difficult science of economics, one of
- the most important factors is the elusive matter of the public
- mood. Already there is an indication that Nixon's program is
- what Americans think they want. Pollster Sindlinger's consumer
- confidence index had climbed back to 64% by the middle of last
- week. Now 40% of Sindlinger's sample want Nixon re-elected. The
- White House men are guardedly optimistic. Says one: "Economics
- isn't chemistry. You can take any theory you've got. If people
- think it's going to work, it will work. If they don't, it
- won't." If it does work, Nixon's program will pay off
- politically for him, and economically for most Americans.
-
- _______________________________________________________________
- Putting on the Freeze
-
- The task of making the wage-price freeze work -- deciding
- who and what is covered by it, improvising compromises,
- enforcing the rule -- will be one of the most complex of
- bureaucratic exercises. Who's Who in running the show for the
- Administration:
-
- TREASURY SECRETARY JOHN CONNALLY, as head of the Cost of
- Living Council, has overall authority to wheedle, cajole, crack
- heads and otherwise employ his considerable political skills in
- imposing the freeze. He has moved briskly. When the Pentagon
- announced that certain servicemen's pay raises would go through
- on schedule, Connally called Deputy Defense Secretary David
- Packard and said: "You rescind those raises or I will." After
- Texas Governor Preston Smith declared that his state employees
- would received their regular pay increases, Connally signed an
- order directing the Attorney General to see that Texas complied
- with the freeze.
-
- A thoroughgoing practical activist with a lawyer's talent
- for bending the System to his advantage, Connally, 54, has
- become one of the strong men of the Nixon Cabinet since he
- joined it last February. Although a Democrat and former L.B.J.
- man, Texan Connally is increasingly mentioned as the man who may
- replace Spiro Agnew on the G.O.P. ticket next year.
-
- ARNOLD WEBER, executive director of the Cost of Living
- Council, is acting as policy and planning director, overseeing
- the council's staff of about 40. A wry, 41-year-old labor
- economist, Weber is a protege of George Shultz, the
- Administration's director of the Office of Management and
- Budget; he worked for Shultz as Assistant Secretary of Labor for
- Manpower. Weber had already packed his family off and was
- preparing to return to his University of Chicago teaching post
- when he was tapped for the council job. "We froze my leave of
- absence," Weber says.
-
- GEORGE LINCOLN, 64, a retired Army brigadier general, will
- disseminate the policy guidelines framed by the Cost of Living
- Council. He will also monitor the questions and complaints that
- flow in, administer the information and investigative network,
- which now includes the Internal Revenue Service and the
- Department of Agriculture as well as the Office of Emergency
- Preparedness.
-
- White-haired and scholarly, Lincoln spent 15 years as a
- professor and head of the social sciences department at West
- Point before becoming director of the OEP in the Nixon
- Administration's first year. His work at OEP, notably in the
- wake of Hurricane Camille two years ago, gained him a reputation
- as an able administrator. But as director of the President's Oil
- Policy Committee, he has been criticized by some as too
- sympathetic to the oil industry.
-
- LOUIS PATRICK GRAY III, 55, Assistant Attorney General in
- charge of the Civil Division, will be responsible for enforcing
- the council's policies. Under Gray, Justice Department
- attorneys, one assigned to each of the OEP's ten regional
- offices, will ask for the injunctions and fines required by the
- law and Nixon's executive order. They will concentrate on cases
- involving substantial violations.
-
- An Annapolis graduate and onetime submarine commander,
- Gray is preeminently a Nixon man, an old friend who has known
- the President since they met at a Washington party in 1947.
- Since he left the Navy in 1960, he has alternated between
- practicing law in New London, Conn., and working for Nixon.
- Skilled at negotiation, he is so self-confident that this week
- he is going ahead with a planned vacation in Connecticut, where
- he will give his house a coat of price-frozen paint.
-
- HERBERT STEIN, 55, an owlish and acerb economic
- theoretician, is a member of the President's Council of Economic
- Advisers. He is now responsible for planning Phase 2 of the
- Nixon strategy: what comes after the 90-day freeze. Known for
- an intellectual agility that some dismiss as sophistry, he will
- need to be nimble in the task; for several years he has been a
- determined spokesman against the sort of policy Nixon finally
- adopted.
-
- Before joining the Council of Economic Advisers, Stein was
- chief economist for the Committee for Economic Development, an
- organization of business leaders. He is the author of "The
- Fiscal Revolution in America," an elegantly written study that
- reflects among other things a distaste for economists who
- confuse rhetoric with action. In his present job he will need
- both.
-
- _______________________________________________________________
- The Law Nixon Used
-
- When he announced the wage-price freeze, President Nixon
- based his action on the Economic Stabilization Act of 1970. The
- law gives stand-by powers to the President to "issue such
- orders as he may deem appropriate to stabilize prices, rents,
- wages and salaries." The irony is that Nixon vigorously opposed
- the bill when it was debated in Congress and said he would not
- use it.
-
- It was passed as part of the continuing cat-and-mouse game
- between Congress and the President. In August 1970 inflation
- was climbing and job rolls were shrinking. Anxious about the
- economy, Wright Patman, the aged and wily chairman of the House
- Banking and Currency Committee, decided to put the President on
- the spot. He maneuvered to attach the Economic Stabilization Act
- with its wage and price controls as an amendment to a bill
- extending the life of the Defense Production Act, which was
- about to expire. The provision was approved by both
- Democrat-controlled houses of Congress.
-
- Nixon was forced to sign the bill because it provides for
- the procurement of basic resources needed for national defense.
- But he was quick to express his disapproval of the move. If
- Congress believes that controls are needed, he said, it should
- "face up to its own responsibilities and make such controls
- mandatory." Congress preferred to let Nixon take the
- responsibility. In March it voted to extend the Economic
- Stabilization Act, and Nixon once more protested, although this
- time the Administration softened its position somewhat; it was
- growing less confident about its own economic policies.
- Treasury Secretary Connally told the Patman committee that the
- White House would "accept" the bill rather than fight it. And
- last week Nixon enthusiastically assumed the powers that he had
- once brusquely turned down.
-
- _______________________________________________________________
- Taking Out The Chill
-
- Ordinarily, the 325-man Office of Emergency Preparedness
- deals with damage done by such natural disasters as hurricanes
- and earthquakes. Last week OEP suddenly found itself handling
- the results of a man-made storm for which it was decidedly
- unprepared. Without warning, President Nixon plucked the tiny
- agency out of the anonymity of the "U.S. Government
- Organization Manual" to supervise the wage-price freeze.
-
- The OEP director, Brigadier General George Lincoln, was on
- his ranch near Denver when he got the White House call to
- action. He phoned his eight regional directors and sent them
- scurrying. "Get a bunch of borrowed people," he advised. "We
- don't want to pay them." The morning after the President's
- announcement, Lincoln's men set up improvised regional offices
- in ten major cities. In the Midwest, the branch moved from
- Battle Creek, Mich., to Chicago. In Georgia, OEP-ers transferred
- from Thomasville to Atlanta, where they found room in an
- insurance office sandwiched between two topless restaurants, one
- of them called The Booby Hatch. They were scarcely settled
- before the telephones started ringing.
-
- Nixon's mandate was a tall order for one of the smallest
- agencies in the federal establishment. Set up in 1961, OEP's
- primary duty is preparing for civilian defense in case of
- nuclear attack. It has been given the additional jobs of
- stockpiling strategic materials and coordinating disaster
- relief.
-
- Some 35 economists specializing in stabilization under
- emergency conditions serve on OEP's staff, and their training
- was recognized as an invaluable asset for the current task. So,
- too, was the agency's reputation for moving quickly into a
- disaster area and getting out just as fast when a job was done.
- That sort of experience doubtless appealed to President Nixon,
- who at the moment has little intention of setting up a
- bureaucracy on the scale of the OPA, or even the Korean War
- wage-price control boards.
-
- For all its practice in emergencies, though, OEP quickly
- showed the strain of its first days on the new job. Manpower
- was urgently needed, and was borrowed haphazardly from other
- Government agencies. Highly paid federal economists, HUD
- officials and even agriculture experts found themselves
- answering phones in regional offices. Nevertheless, OEP could
- not cope with the flood of inquiries. In the Washington
- headquarters a block from the White House, confusion was
- compounded as cameramen tangled lines with telephone installers.
-
- Even when they had time to answer the phones, OEP staffers
- often could not answer the questions. They had to wait for the
- Cost of Living Council to provide guidelines for a wide variety
- of puzzlers. Chrysler Corp., for example, asked if the import
- surcharge applied to tax-free automobiles that were supplied to
- the diplomatic community. (Answer: maybe.) Many people wanted
- to know how to distinguish between raw foods, which are not
- subject to price control, and processed foods, which are. In
- some cases, that was easy to answer. Whatever is totally
- unprocessed -- eggs, oranges, fresh fish -- escapes control.
- Most meats are processed and therefore subject to the freeze.
- Still, the status of many foods remained in doubt. Does shelling
- almonds amount to processing? one caller wanted to know. Again
- the answer was maybe. Government Economist Sidney L. Jones
- offered a tongue-in-cheek rule of thumb for baffled consumers:
- "Anything that snaps, crunches, bites or quivers when you eat
- it is not frozen."
-
- Uncertain how to handle reports of freeze violations, OEP
- simply recorded them and filed them away. Later, the Justice
- Department will decide whether to prosecute. The first
- complaint to Washington came from an irate consumer of
- cigarettes that had cost him only $2.60 the week before. Next
- came a call from a boarder who said that his landlord told him
- either to pay more rent or eat one less meal a day. By and
- large, the complaints were low-keyed and did not involve
- extravagant sums of money.
-
- When they could not provide answers, OEP staffers tried at
- least to be reassuring. After all, everyone was in the same
- boat. In Chicago, Michael Sanders, an attorney in the
- Agriculture Department, commiserated with a man who complained
- about not getting his raise. "I know," said Sanders, "I had an
- increase coming. This freeze has thrown a monkey wrench into the
- whole thing." Helen Balch, an appraiser on loan from HUD,
- discussed with a caller whether to put off a trip to Europe.
-
- Eventually, guidelines began to take shape. Prices and
- wages are frozen at their highest level during the 30 days
- ending Aug. 14; imported goods are excepted. Included are most
- wholesale and retail goods; rents; bus, air and train fares;
- doctor, dentist and lawyer fees; telephone, electricity and gas
- costs; commission and insurance rates. Exempt from control are
- previously announced school tuition rates, even though they have
- not yet become effective, and state and local taxes.
-
- No raises or cost of living increases will be allowed
- except in cases of promotions to jobs with more responsibility.
- Thus those railroad workers of the United Transportation Union
- who had not yet ratified an agreement reached on their behalf
- on Aug. 2 will not get their raises until Nov. 12 at the
- earliest. In California, employees of General Telephone Co. had
- reached a tentative agreement giving them about the same pay
- raise granted to employees of the Bell System. The Bell workers
- ratified their agreements the day before the freeze took effect;
- the General Telephone employees, on the other hand, delayed. "So
- General workers doing the same work that Bell workers are doing
- will get lower wage rates during the freeze," noted a
- communications union spokesman. "We're sorry, but that's it."
-
- At the end of the week OEP remained swamped by far more
- work than it could handle. Other agencies were recruited to come
- to the rescue. In some 200 cities, Taxpayer Assistance offices
- of the Internal Revenue Service began to take over some of the
- inquiries that were flooding into OEP. The Agriculture
- Department's Stabilization and Conservation Service started
- fielding questions in rural areas. All together, some 1,500
- federal employees are now feeding out information and relaying
- it back to Washington in a unique operation of improvisation.
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